ABNT20 KNHC 111129
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Isaias, located near the border of Tennessee and Kentucky.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large but
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms extending from these
islands southward into the eastern Tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some development of
this system over the next day or two before upper-level winds become
too strong for development by midweek. Regardless of development,
heavy rainfall will be possible during the next few days over
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands as the system moves slowly
northward to north-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 121132
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles west
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large but
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms, which are occurring
on the east side of the low, extending toward the westernmost Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear, at best, marginally
conducive for any development of this system during the next day or
two before upper-level winds become too strong for any further
development. Regardless, heavy rainfall is expected to continue for
the next day or two across western portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands, and some flooding is possible there as the system moves
slowly northward to north-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 131117
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 13 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A low pressure trough located several hundred miles west-northwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Further development of this
system is no longer expected as the low moves slowly northward to north-northwestward within an area of strong upper-level winds.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 152319
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Evans/Cangialosi
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 181728
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is expected to form
later today or tonight off the southeast coast of the United States.
This low is likely to move slowly and erratically through the middle
of this week, and some subtropical development is possible during
that time. Regardless of development, this system will cause high
winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf along portions of the
U.S. East Coast. Please consult statements and warnings from local
National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center
for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm
Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Beven
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 191152
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is located along a
frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeast coast of the
United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically
over the next couple of days. If the low remains over the Gulf
Stream and becomes detached from the front, it could briefly acquire
some subtropical cyclone characteristics during the middle to latter
portions of the week. The system is expected to begin to move
northeastward away from the the eastern United States later this
week, and environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for development by the weekend. Regardless of the
status of the system, high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous
surf are expected along portions of the U.S. East Coast during the
next few days. Please consult statements and warnings from local
National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center
for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm
Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Off the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the North Carolina coast is producing some shower and
thunderstorm activity primarily west of its center. However,
overnight satellite wind data indicated the low was still attached
to an occluded front. Over the next couple of days, the low could
develop some organized deep convection and gradually lose its
frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to briefly develop subtropical characteristics. By the end of the week, the system is expected to
accelerate northeastward away from the the eastern United States,
where environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
for additional subtropical or tropical development.

Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with High Seas
Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Papin
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 211142
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Offshore of the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the mid-Atlantic United States coast is producing some
shower and thunderstorm activity primarily west and northwest of its
center. Over the next day or two, the low could gradually lose its
frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to possibly develop subtropical characteristics. By Friday, the system is expected to accelerate
northeastward away from the the eastern United States, and
environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
additional subtropical or tropical development.

Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with the High Seas
Forecasts and the Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Blake
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

ABNT20 KNHC 221136
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Josephine, located a few hundred miles offshore of the
Mid-Atlantic coast of the United States.

Subtropical Central Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
east-southeast of Bermuda is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is
possible during the next day or two while it moves slowly
north-northeastward. Upper-level winds are forecast to become too
strong for further development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT35
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)