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OUTLOOK: Nws National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Mon Oct 5 08:46:24 2026
ABNT20 KNHC 051138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although
environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive, gradual development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the middle or latter portion of the week. This
system is expected to drift eastward over the next few days, before
it turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
= = = = = = =
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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Tue Oct 6 08:22:00 2026
ABNT20 KNHC 061131
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Continued development of this system
is expected, and a tropical depression is anticipated to form over
the next day or so while it drifts eastward. The low pressure area
could bring gusty winds and areas of heavy rain to the western
portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico in a couple of days.
The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward
the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week. It is still too
early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but
interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely
monitor the progress of this system. The NOAA Gulfstream is
scheduled to sample the environment over the Gulf later today and an
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NNN
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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Wed Oct 7 09:54:04 2026
ABNT20 KNHC 071136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Isaias, located in the southwestern Gulf of
America.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Isais are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaias are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNN
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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)