ACUS11 KWNS 142036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142035
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-142300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1981
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0335 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

Areas affected...Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into much of southern
Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 142035Z - 142300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storms may increase out of the Panhandles and into
southern Kansas through this evening. Areas of strong to damaging
wind gusts will be possible.

DISCUSSION...Surface observations show very hot conditions have
developed, with temperatures at or above 105 F from the TX Panhandle
into southern KS including the Wichita area. Notably, PWAT has been
measured at 1.50 to 1.60", suggesting a deep layer of boundary layer
moisture coincident with the steep low-level lapse rates.

Storms are already occurring over the northeast TX Panhandle and
into far northwest OK, producing strong gusts. Outflow from this
activity may push into KS, where a weak wind shift exists.
Therefore, scattered storms are expected to develop into these
areas, and locally severe gusts appear likely. Coverage of severe
may not warrant a watch, but trends will continued to be monitored.

..Jewell.. 08/14/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6-_wXzyyyJpjAfs7Dy7QeQfBeRSSm2uZ1szel7ewEojlPuTQ22_VFK0_pZ1iQP81eXfg1YTnUvdhi2pRVzioaaUrEzE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON 36700145 37160092 37810006 38369894 38409761 38289719
38119703 37979691 37659692 37299729 37139794 36869884
36549961 36140038 35780108 36060166 36700145

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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