• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1130

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 13 23:54:23 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 132354
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 132353=20
    KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-140200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1130
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0653 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

    Areas affected...Central Kansas...northwest Oklahoma...eastern Texas
    Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329...

    Valid 132353Z - 140200Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage
    this evening from central KS into the TX Panhandle. Large hail will
    be the main threat initially, but damaging wind potential will
    increase by mid-evening.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of intense thunderstorms has developed in the
    past hour along the cold front between Dodge City and Great Bend.=20
    These storms are tracking southeastward into a reservoir of very
    warm/moist and unstable air, with upscale organization into a linear
    MCS likely in the next couple of hours. As this occurs, the risk of
    rather widespread damaging winds will also rise. It is unclear how
    the isolated severe storms south of Wichita will affect the bowing
    line as it tracks southeastward in the next few hours.

    Other more isolated but intense storms have formed in the eastern TX
    Panhandle. This activity will slowly develop eastward into
    northwest OK this evening with a risk of damaging wind gusts and
    hail.

    ..Hart.. 06/13/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_c9zBvL3h0FDqpxwNJz045mCEX-UhXgSpkgfZoug5eVNWAvI8k8hp41kGgdp4Xy1KXMNmrSMr= pYdXJsOrU835an3-mc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

    LAT...LON 36540140 37570058 38319940 38929789 37629671 37029778
    36809851 36239927 35410025 35250127 36540140=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)