• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1129

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 13 22:58:23 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 132258
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 132258=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-140030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1129
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0558 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

    Areas affected...Northeastern Kansas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 327...

    Valid 132258Z - 140030Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 327 continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for tornado watch 327 continues into the
    evening as thunderstorms advance southeastward from the KS/NE
    border. Supercells capable of tornadoes, damaging winds of 65-80
    MPH, and 2-3.5 inch hail will all be possible.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercell thunderstorms has developed
    along a cold front in the vicinity of the KS/NE border and is
    currently moving southeastward into WW 327. With deep-layer shear
    exceeding 45 kts and copious buoyancy ahead of these storms, the
    expectation is that both discrete and line-embedded supercells will
    pose a threat for all hazards over the next few hours. Additional
    modifications to the hodograph from the onset of the nocturnal
    low-level jet will will support an increase in tornado threat near
    and after sunset, particularly with any preexisting
    dominant/isolated supercell thunderstorms. The mixed
    supercellular/linear mode will also support large hail up to 3.5
    inches and damaging straight-line winds up to 80 MPH.

    ..Halbert.. 06/13/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6NtRC7yWt4hu8TGSB-z4c3qLG-ShYBQ2OEvWr9C_T3s9JyChe3hDMgLi3sRAK59QdkK3v4Cqy= Ef50jEW04ifsgytOM0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

    LAT...LON 38759854 38949855 39629783 39879725 40099632 40189536
    40049468 39919462 39739431 39399418 38899405 38439438
    38289535 38189597 38169659 38159710 38169780 38199826
    38239847 38759854=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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