ACUS11 KWNS 131652
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131651=20
MOZ000-IAZ000-131815-

Mesoscale Discussion 1119
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Areas affected...far southern Iowa into north-central Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326...

Valid 131651Z - 131815Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind and isolated hail potential continues in
WW326.

DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms continues eastward across far
southern Iowa into north-central Missouri, producing more recent
gusts in to around 55-60 mph. Guidance suggests this will continue
eastward for another couple of hours across northern Missouri.
Sufficient MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and deep layer shear around 30
kts will support potential for strong to severe wind and perhaps
some isolated instances of hail. This will eventually weaken with
time ahead of new convection developing to the west and as outflow
from a complex of storms moves northward this afternoon. A
downstream watch is not likely to be needed.

..Thornton.. 06/13/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-M-uXH-bRLij8e0mw5N-XTa2QMtWUCGSL2W9DuR9iMk2ljgt-yV05VvZZ-12UeYoS_yGRPk8K= ElXfnd1M37y-Nwpi6I$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON 40469413 40829385 40899322 40639248 40199212 39579225
39469300 39809383 39899416 39939422 40469413=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)