ACUS11 KWNS 270825
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270824=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-271000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0324 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Areas affected...Northwest Missouri and extreme northeast Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 154...

Valid 270824Z - 271000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 154
continues.

SUMMARY...Earlier supercells are growing into more of a north-south
oriented MCS, with some increase in wind damage potential. A new
severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed into northern
Missouri.

DISCUSSION...More discrete supercells earlier in KS have begun to
merge and orient into more of a north-south line with a more
pronounced cold pool. The updrafts of these storms are still rooted
well above the surface, but steep midlevel lapse rates will allow
downdrafts to penetrate to the ground with an accompanying threat
for 65+ mph gusts (especially on right flanks of embedded
circulations). Since some supercell structures will likely remain
within the line, large hail can still be expected. A new severe
thunderstorm watch will be issued soon into northwest and northern
MO.

..Thompson.. 04/27/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5QDRPLew9n_0JIy7Oe60ieUoVqXocwQS4zjN1Ovd9qoN2T-nolyJziqX0f5fnN87Xdr2275rO= P9jOQvtDitvf3UbX7I$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 39089251 38779276 38559335 38529437 38729504 38959507
39399477 39669438 39839409 39979363 39979285 39789245
39089251=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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