• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0547

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Apr 26 16:25:33 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 261625
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 261624=20
    KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-261800-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0547
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1124 AM CDT Sun Apr 26 2026

    Areas affected...parts of northeast KS into far southeast
    NE/northwest MO

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 261624Z - 261800Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...A threat for hail and localized strong/damaging gusts may
    spread eastward into early afternoon.

    DISCUSSION...Elevated convection has recently intensified across
    central KS. A subtle midlevel shortwave trough and downstream heating/moistening may help to sustain this storm cluster as it
    moves eastward into early afternoon. In the short-term, with MUCAPE
    approaching 1000 J/kg and effective shear of 40+ kt, the strongest
    elevated cores will be capable of producing isolated hail, and
    perhaps locally gusty winds. If sufficient downstream
    heating/destabilization occurs, this cluster could eventually become
    rooted closer to the surface as it approaches northeast KS, which
    would result in an increasing threat of damaging wind and possibly a
    brief tornado, in addition to continued hail potential. Watch
    issuance is possible if trends support intensification of this
    cluster into the early afternoon.

    ..Dean/Guyer.. 04/26/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9-Df2adf0ShrXWXfhaIb1YNwivXpnrE2xWOcK2VhKlxz6FZW2Nl7TQxYMqRLZWbyjnoBj5P8e= 5KrTT5VGSpP7Kpf6R4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

    LAT...LON 39399798 40149733 40259568 40099499 39609463 39039462
    38309486 38169557 38069650 37999771 38299783 39399798=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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