• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0544

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Apr 26 06:31:57 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 260631
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260631=20
    LAZ000-ARZ000-260800-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0544
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0131 AM CDT Sun Apr 26 2026

    Areas affected...Southern Arkansas and northern Louisiana

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 147...

    Valid 260631Z - 260800Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 147
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Earlier supercells have grown upscale into a linear/bowing
    cluster with continued wind damage and isolated large hail
    potential.

    DISCUSSION...Earlier supercells in southwest AR, with a history of
    very large hail, have now merged and transitioned to more of a
    linear/cold pool-driven structure, with the lead supercell evolving
    into a comma head. This suggests the severe threat is also
    transitioning more to wind damage and embedded mesovortex
    circulations, though strong updrafts in the cluster could still
    produce large hail. This storm cluster will likely persist for the
    next couple of hours while moving southeastward along the buoyancy
    gradient from southern AR into northern LA. The severe-threat will
    potentially reach a tier or two of counties/parishes east of the
    watch, but most of the threat should remain within the watch area.

    ..Thompson.. 04/26/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5hh4WN0uouLfOqSbeuSKcX1Dz8RSCIqHrylI0AaRdGbOSH5Tt7XmqBsY9m_BMX5xaF6gvLm7s= Kbyl0CzsXoyeY-gxfE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...

    LAT...LON 33289265 33469223 33339202 32989181 32599195 32439221
    32359265 32429313 32629350 32819375 33069380 33289360
    33289265=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)