ACUS11 KWNS 260443
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260442=20
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-260645-
Mesoscale Discussion 0542
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1142 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026
Areas affected...northeastern Texas...southwestern
Arkansas...northwestern Louisiana
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 147...
Valid 260442Z - 260645Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 147
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW147.
DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells continue to track south and east
southeastern Arkansas. These cells have a history of producing hail
up to 2.75 inches in diameter and continue to have high MESH cores.
In the short term, these will pose the greatest severe risk with the
primary threat being large to very large hail. While these storms
are likely elevated, should they be able to continue southward into
the warmer air and vicinity of more backed surface flow, a tornado
could be possible.
CAM guidance seems to suggest that eventually, storms will cluster
and move across northern Louisiana through the morning. This may
lead to a shift in potential for strong to severe wind. Given the
diurnal stabilizing of the boundary layer, winds may not make it to
the surface keeping this threat isolated.
..Thornton.. 04/26/2026
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!84L7b4WtvWrf6857FxF1s3vLvJlWO4W3hoFOYoRNurK2pQowGKX93bmxvyJpZI3YqUyukEY5t= dn2DxKdCBGJm-L0oA8$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 33689513 34069364 33999312 33439229 33049221 32699221
32309231 32189308 32439390 32749474 32879501 33689513=20
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
=3D =3D =3D
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