ACUS11 KWNS 161349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161348=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-161545-

Mesoscale Discussion 0110
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025

Areas affected...Northern Florida...Southeast Georgia...Eastern
Southern Carolina...Far Southern North Carolina

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13...

Valid 161348Z - 161545Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for damaging wind gusts will continue this
morning from parts of northern Florida northeastward into southeast
Georgia and the Carolinas.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a line of strong
to severe storms from the eastern Florida Panhandle northeastward
into the central Carolinas. Ahead of the line, surface dewpoints in
the 60s F are contributing to weak instability. The RAP has MUCAPE
less than 500 J/kg in most areas across the Atlantic coastal plains.
In spite of this, frontal forcing is strong near the line, which
will likely help the line to maintain strength over the next few
hours. With the strong low to mid-level flow in place, evident on
regional WSR-88D VWPs, the line is expected to continue to produce
isolated damaging gusts, especially along the parts that are more
organized. The wind-damage threat will likely persist into the mid
to late morning as the line moves through the Atlantic coastal
areas.

..Broyles.. 02/16/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7l8af-V3ZV_RrM2z6yesxj1mJJEtYjrlp8O07iOL2at4YqemHGjr-PnD2Tf8GK2V_M06leExM= eU-bh2ExIVzeQoJnNM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 34418045 34568024 34737997 34937948 35057909 35057872
34797820 34577794 34147788 33797819 32927916 32018041
31068128 29818247 29698323 29918374 30338399 30818389
31358330 32418216 34038081 34418045=20


=3D =3D =3D
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